Estimate the theoretical fair value of a CE or PE using the Black-Scholes model — plus the Greeks that explain how the premium will behave.
The Black-Scholes model estimates what an option should be worth given the index level, strike, time left, volatility and interest rates. Comparing that to the market premium tells you whether an option is trading rich or cheap relative to your volatility input.
Spot 23,000, strike 23,000, 7 days to expiry, IV 12%, rate 6.5%: the call and the put both price near their ATM fair value, with delta around 0.5 and theta bleeding a portion of the premium each day. Watch how the premium falls as you reduce days to expiry — that is time decay in action.
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